Jack Milner: One can perceive by just a glance at the betting for today’s meeting on the Polytrack at Hollywoodbets Greyville, that this card is highly competitive.
There are no odds-on favourites and in most cases, they are betting 4-1 and upwards the field.
This course has thrown up many Pick 6 carryovers in the past few months but in most of those cases it was because the so-called “good things” got run over, and as a result, with the obvious bankers beaten, the majority of Pick 6 tickets ended up in rubbish bins.
At this meeting, however, there are no obvious good things and bettors go into this meeting forewarned. It is often sensible advice to follow the leading jockeys and trainers, particularly those whose horses perform well on the Polytrack.
Perhaps the best race to take a chance is in the first leg of the Pick 6, Race 4, a Maiden Plate over 1900m, and only go with two horses.
Gavin van Zyl saddles Walnut, the mount of Warren Kennedy, and he could be ready to pick up his first win. Two runs back he raced over 1800m on the Polytrack but he had blinkers on and they might have been more detrimental than beneficial. With them off he ran a better race over 1500m on the turf at Scottsville.
He could benefit from the extra 400m in this event and if he does see it out, the son of Kingsbarns may be a hard (wall)nut to crack.
The obvious threat comes from A Thousand Tunes, trained by Ashley Fortune and ridden by Anton Marcus. This lightly raced son of Noble Tune improved markedly when tried over ground last time and should progress further.
Jack Milner’s selections
Race 1: 11 Emerald Palace, 1 Reckless Love, 3 Mama Pyjama, 4 Trenadora
Race 2: 1 Late Night Live, 5 Just The Wind, 3 Wichita, 12 Duchessofcornwall
Race 3: 1 Culture Club, 7 Snatched, 3 Que For You, 9 Flying Thunder
Race 4: 3 Walnut, 9 A Thousand Tunes, 5 Predator, 11 Glacier Rush
Race 5: 9 Legislate’s Dance, 5 Jackinapot, 11 Magari, 3 Tilmeeth
Race 6: 2 Arrabiata, 3 Alfonse Baby, 11 Bell Jar, 10 Super Fluke
Race 7: 2 Rachel, 10 Macara, 3 First Sighting, 9 Joyful Winter
Race 8: 5 Traces, 4 Candy Galore, 3 Goliath Heron, 6 Winter Blues
Race 9: 12 Lavu Lavu, 7 Brunilda, 1 Colour Of Light, 8 Yaas
BEST BET
Race 2 No 1 Late Night Live
VALUE BET
Race 7 No 2 Rachel
BEST SWINGER
Race 4 3×9
BIPOT
R360
Leg 1: 1
Leg 2: 1, 3, 7
Leg 3: 3, 9
Leg 4: 3, 5, 7, 9, 11
Leg 5: 2, 3, 11
Leg 6: 2, 3, 9, 10
PLACE ACCUMULATOR
R216
Leg 1: 1, 7
Leg 2: 3
Leg 3: 5, 9, 11
Leg 4: 2, 3
Leg 5: 2, 3, 10
Leg 6: 4, 5
Leg 7: 1, 7, 12
PICK 6
R1728
Leg 1: 3, 9
Leg 2: 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 11
Leg 3: 2, 3, 11
Leg 4: 2, 3, 9, 10
Leg 5: 3, 4, 5
Leg 6: 1, 7, 8, 12
JACKPOT 1
R216
Leg 1: 3, 5, 7, 8, 9, 11
Leg 2: 2, 3, 11
Leg 3: 2, 3, 9, 10
Leg 4: 3, 4, 5
JACKPOT 2
R144
Leg 1: 2, 3, 11
Leg 2: 2, 3, 9, 10
Leg 3: 3, 4, 5
Leg 4: 1, 7, 8, 12