Jack Milner
There is a theory among breeders that one should never buy the first offspring of a dam, no matter how talented that mare might have been when racing.
Like all hypotheses, there are always the exceptions to the rule and one of those is Naval Guard. He is the first issue of Imperial Empress, who is by Toreador, an Irish-bred son of Danehill.
When he first started to run most people may well have believed that theory. With the exception of his second outing, which was a promising second, his other two were very ordinary – and that is being polite.
After those runs he was gelded and given a seven-month break. He made his comeback on New Year’s Day, and it marked the start of a promising career.
Racing over 1400m at Turffontein, he was well supported in the betting, opening at 6-1 and going off at 2-1. He won easily and followed up with two places - over 1450m and 1500m respectively.
Then trainer Paul Peter pushed him up to 2000m and that saw the four-year-old son of Elusive Fort raise his game to another level.
He won that race in a canter by 2.25 lengths and in his next outing scored an even easier 4.10-length victory over 1800m.
Today he is one of five horses from the Peter stable carded to line up in Race 6, a MR 92 Handicap over 2000m on the Turffontein Standside track and he will take some beating.
Naval Guard is very highly regarded by his stable and they certainly have bigger fish to fry with this gelding.
He will be ridden by Warren Kennedy who has an excellent record on him, having ridden him four times for all three wins and a close-up second. He also has the benefit of jumping from No 1 draw.
An interesting runner is Kaptein, who will making his Joburg debut for the Brett Crawford yard. Brett’s son, James, is looking after the Randjesfontein yard and has performed admirably since arriving on the Highveld.
The four-year-old son of Captain Al is a two-time winner from 17 starts with nine places. He might be in need of the run, but the fact Crawford is racing him over 2000m in his first Highveld start has to be significant.
Jack Milner’s selections
Race 1: 6 Mover And Shaker, 12 Thunderstruck, 14 Tomorrow's Vision, 13 Thymetoshine
Race 2: 5 Glittering Girl, 3 Champagne Charlie, 8 Lady Regent, 1 Antigua Night
Race 3: 6 Ideal Future, 1 Divine Dynasty, 4 Oceans Pride, 8 Allthewayfromusa
Race 4: 9 Equestrian Affair, 1 Porfirio, 3 Never To Clever, 7 Red Hot
Race 5: 4 Japan Approval, 2 Lamborghreeni, 1 Harold The Duke, 5 Vaguely Familiar
Race 6: 4 Naval Guard, 2 Kaptein, 6 Grimaldi, 1 Ocean Warrior
Race 7: 2 Droghiere, 5 Double Magic, 7 Successful Secret, 4 Jet Cat
Race 8: 5 JP Two Thousand, 4 Here Is The Tiger, 15 Silly Fella, 8 Jaipur Jewel
BEST BET: Race 6 No 4 Naval Guard
VALUE BET: Race 8 No 5 JP Two Thousand
BEST SWINGER: Race 3 1x6
BIPOT (R240)
Leg 1: 6, 12, 13, 14
Leg 2: 3, 5, 8
Leg 3: 1, 6
Leg 4: 1, 9
Leg 5: 1, 2, 4, 5, 7
Leg 6: 4
PLACE ACCUMULATOR (R216)
Leg 1: 3, 5, 8
Leg 2: 1, 6
Leg 3: 1, 9
Leg 4: 1, 2, 4
Leg 5: 4
Leg 6: 2, 5, 7
Leg 7: 4, 5
PICK 6 (R1260)
Leg 1: 1, 6
Leg 2: 1, 3, 9
Leg 3: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Leg 4: 4
Leg 5: 2, 5, 7
Leg 6: 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11, 14, 15
JACKPOT 1 (R63)
Leg 1: 1, 3, 9
Leg 2: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Leg 3: 4
Leg 4: 2, 5, 7
JACKPOT 2 (R210)
Leg 1: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7
Leg 2: 4
Leg 3: 2, 5, 7
Leg 4: 2, 3, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11, 14, 15