Jack Milner
Weight versus class looks to be the topic of discussion in Race 8 at Hollywoodbets Greyville on Wednesday, a MR 96 Handicap over 1200m on the Polytrack.
This debate is all around Blackwhitedynamite who put up a spectacular performance last time out when fitted with blinkers, romping to a four-length victory over Purple Operator.
The handicappers were also impressed with that effort and Peter Muscutt’s charge received an eight-point penalty for that success. That race was in a MR 75 Handicap and Blackwhitedynamite carried 61kg.
The five-year-old gelding lines up in Race 8, but this time takes a massive jump in class and will be taking on a far stronger field. But while he was given a 4kg penalty for his last victory, because of the quality of the field he will have just 54.5kg on his back.
The average merit rating of this race is 92 while the previous race was a mere 67, a difference of 28 points which translates to 14kg.
So, the question to be answered is, has the fitting of blinkers made enough of a difference to irradicate the difference in class?
There are some very decent performers in this line-up and that will make it tough for Blackwhitedynamite, however, based on the manner of his victory, this son of What A Winter still appeared to have quite a bit in hand so that should make him highly competitive.
Gavin Lerena rode him last time but is unable to make the weight, nevertheless he has a more than capable replacement in Richard Fourie.
The biggest threat should come from Mr Master Starter who has an outstanding record on the Polytrack with three wins and a place from four starts, is unbeaten over course and distance but carries 61kg.
Jack Milner’s selections
Race 1: 10 Magic Prince, 5 Benni In The Area, 4 Mexican Pete, 2 New Spirit
Race 2: 5 King Bavarian, 10 Venerable, 11 Tobacconist, 8 Mister Lincoln
Race 3: 5 Queen Bomi, 1 Shaken Not Stirred, 8 English Primrose, 3 Rowins Dream
Race 4: 6 Bayview Express, 4 Riccardo, 8 Head Gardener, 1 We All Chomies
Race 5: 1 Whatsupbuttacup, 4 Mysterious Girl, 3 You Deserve It, 9 Pretty In Pearls
Race 6: 9 Trafalgar Square, 1 Impartial, 2 Dontshootthebarman, 3 Servilius
Race 7: 9 Bright Star, 7 Certainly, 2 Poursomesugaronme, 6 Poppy Of Bayeux
Race 8: 7 Blackwhitedynamite, 3 Mr Master Starter, 10 Proud Master, 1 Maxiumus
BEST BET
Race 4 No 6 Bayview Express
VALUE BET
Race 5 No 1 Whatsupbuttacup
BEST SWINGER
Race 8 3x7
BIPOT
R324
Leg 1: 4, 5, 10
Leg 2: 5, 8, 10, 11
Leg 3: 1, 5, 8
Leg 4: 6
Leg 5: 1, 3, 4
Leg 6: 1, 2, 9
PLACE ACCUMULATOR
R243
Leg 1: 5, 10, 11
Leg 2: 1, 5, 8
Leg 3: 6
Leg 4: 1, 3, 4
Leg 5: 1, 2, 9
Leg 6: 2, 7, 9
Leg 7: 7
PICK 6
R1750
Leg 1: 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, 9
Leg 2: 6
Leg 3: 1, 3, 4, 5, 9
Leg 4: 1, 2, 3, 8, 9
Leg 5: 2, 6, 7, 8, 9
Leg 6: 3, 7
JACKPOT 1
R125
Leg 1: 6
Leg 2: 1, 3, 4, 5, 9
Leg 3: 1, 2, 3, 8, 9
Leg 4: 2, 6, 7, 8, 9
JACKPOT 2
R250
Leg 1: 1, 3, 4, 5, 9
Leg 2: 1, 2, 3, 8, 9
Leg 3: 2, 6, 7, 8, 9
Leg 4: 3, 7
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